kangaroohodler
0x262a9a559c959f18a48444bd652262e94c664e7e
- Realised P&L
- $-218.72
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $151.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.84at 0.233Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
- +$82.35at 0.170Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$42.02at 0.190Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$37.74at 0.150MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$31.20at 0.243Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 14:30 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.217 | $12.76 |
| 07-14 14:30 | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 14:28 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 14:28 | Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 14:27 | Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 14:26 | England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.2172538809 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 14:26 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 17:55 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.96 |
| 05-31 17:55 | Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | SELL | 0.913 | $22.71 |
| 05-31 17:55 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.724 | $48.26 |
| 05-31 17:54 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0949999984 | $50.00 |
| 03-10 14:12 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $12.12 |
| 03-09 14:05 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9619999999 | $110.00 |
| 03-09 14:03 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 03-09 14:02 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BUY | 0.4112687641 | $10.00 |