PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.39. down 0.11 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.34 to 0.54. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5166
0.531016
0.543349
0.573079
0.581,0001,079
0.67371,116
0.68881,204
0.70231,227
0.71281,255
0.79501,305
0.81201,325
0.84501,375

Spread0.24Mid0.39

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.27108108
0.268116
0.2138154
0.197162
0.1750212
0.15200412
0.0844455
0.0720475
0.0412487
0.0320507
0.0240547
0.011,9482,496

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.73108108
0.748116
0.7938154
0.817162
0.8350212
0.85200412
0.9244455
0.9320475
0.9612487
0.9720507
0.9840547
0.991,9482,496

Spread0.24Mid0.61

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4966
0.471016
0.463349
0.433079
0.421,0001,079
0.33371,116
0.32881,204
0.30231,227
0.29281,255
0.21501,305
0.19201,325
0.16501,375

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LieutenantMiloMinderbinderYes7,473.08
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes1,660
ArmageddonRewardsBillyYes1,385.38
0x702226B14B65B1c8d05fF51759e095f09932F64e-1770071899262Yes640.06
DEGENKHANYes508.92
varch01Yes499.24
LornaPredictsYes481
donthackmeYes391.7
warptradingYes312.5
plsnoloseYes214.28
VictorPham5386Yes162
dpndv2Yes142.98
haruk098Yes135
wtfsssYes130.64
xiaodouziYes100
aHjCzYes92.13
megadarkparticleYes90.09
cocomellon247mpYes90
gotonetry33Yes80.36
xiaoaojiangYes70

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:23:21SELLYes0.55$2.44
21:23:10SELLYes0.55$2.50
21:23:09BUYNo0.55$2.50
21:11:33SELLYes0.493$1.68
15:15:12SELLNo0.478$3.76
00:03:31SELLNo0.532$1.00
00:03:30SELLNo0.536$2.95
00:03:27SELLNo0.536$2.94
05:39:00BUYYes0.43043476025$2.25
08:33:34SELLYes0.296$1.61
11:10:18SELLYes0.5524$13.02
10:42:49SELLYes0.5516$8.98
18:30:04SELLYes0.5226047628163$84.93
17:58:36SELLYes0.810$7.77
17:58:30SELLYes0.85$3.92
17:58:24SELLYes0.80$0.01
17:58:18SELLYes0.85$4.07
15:04:12BUYYes0.743366875240$30.00
12:38:51SELLNo0.299$2.58
11:47:12SELLYes0.540$20.14
06:31:01SELLNo0.3225$8.07
06:30:30SELLNo0.3240$12.80
06:29:25SELLNo0.327$2.24
06:26:49SELLNo0.3135$10.85
00:14:46BUYNo0.525$2.60