LieutenantMiloMinderbinder
0x66d609dbda9df641eff684190a01182f6de450c7
- Realised P&L
- $10.0k
- Volume
- $1.17M
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $14.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.100Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.040Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$1.7kat 0.070Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$1.2kat 0.500US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$396.87at 0.270Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:24 | Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.31 | $13.59 |
| 09-14 13:59 | Will RZP-Zehut win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.71 |
| 09-13 20:22 | Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.6649452387 | $202.78 |
| 09-13 20:14 | Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.3 | $7.53 |
| 09-13 10:30 | Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.3 | $8.40 |
| 09-11 08:50 | Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.77 | $8.02 |
| 09-10 13:33 | Will United Torah Judaism win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 18:02 | Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.8180364156 | $45.83 |
| 09-09 15:07 | Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.85 | $51.00 |
| 09-09 14:47 | Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.71 | $22.01 |
| 09-09 14:47 | Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.69 | $82.80 |
| 09-09 10:29 | Will United Torah Judaism win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.9 | $11.88 |
| 09-09 10:16 | Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.7066666667 | $63.60 |
| 09-09 09:41 | Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.6527762354 | $117.56 |
| 09-09 09:30 | Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.7 | $105.00 |