Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.12 to 0.14. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	178	178
0.14	550	729
0.15	435	1,164
0.16	272	1,436
0.18	110	1,545
0.26	100	1,645
0.27	7	1,652
0.29	135	1,787
0.32	100	1,887
0.34	900	2,787
0.76	20	2,807
0.97	800	3,607

Spread0.01Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	170	170
0.11	164	334
0.10	1,070	1,403
0.09	296	1,699
0.08	350	2,049
0.07	394	2,443
0.06	727	3,170
0.05	1,688	4,857
0.04	520	5,377
0.03	2,867	8,244
0.02	1,670	9,914
0.01	2,612	12,526

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	170	170
0.89	164	334
0.90	1,070	1,403
0.91	296	1,699
0.92	350	2,049
0.93	394	2,443
0.94	727	3,170
0.95	1,688	4,857
0.96	520	5,377
0.97	2,867	8,244
0.98	1,670	9,914
0.99	2,612	12,526

Spread0.01Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	178	178
0.86	550	729
0.85	435	1,164
0.84	272	1,436
0.82	110	1,545
0.74	100	1,645
0.73	7	1,652
0.71	135	1,787
0.68	100	1,887
0.66	900	2,787
0.24	20	2,807
0.03	800	3,607

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
eNakeVets	Yes	4,097.8
RobClive	Yes	2,336.25
Glued	Yes	1,560
TheBigMuscle	Yes	1,513.6
Karinawinter	Yes	900
DavidAlvarado8816	Yes	707
AlanGutierrez1426	Yes	517
0x1AAc8DA953333450DF04882210D047583F2B66FB-1774010861675	Yes	499.99
rundfunkbeitraege	Yes	420
RachelJackson9761	Yes	411
TreepleA	Yes	346.89
rocky42005	Yes	310.08
0xa6f7…ba84	Yes	271.44
Olifa	Yes	132.19
0xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-1772365350231	Yes	102
NAZCA77	Yes	100
lIllIIl	Yes	70
0xA8c443Bb5026C2Bda115cFdd6eecFA50991C292B-1772548953896	Yes	67.62
0x74E68D8FbdC0baB0E004ad529Be87981e0B44f6C-1770312721609	Yes	65
daroghi	Yes	60

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:53:53	SELL	Yes	0.12	20	$2.40
20:53:50	BUY	No	0.87	20	$17.40
20:53:30	BUY	No	0.87	20	$17.39
20:53:30	BUY	No	0.87	156	$135.72
13:04:05	BUY	Yes	0.1399999832	7	$1.00
21:42:47	SELL	Yes	0.13	24	$3.12
21:42:20	SELL	Yes	0.13	10	$1.30
21:42:06	SELL	Yes	0.13	10	$1.30
18:55:12	SELL	No	0.86	48	$41.43
16:36:39	SELL	No	0.85	20	$17.00
16:36:36	BUY	Yes	0.1459509385	168	$24.57
16:36:36	BUY	Yes	0.1364633301	508	$69.33
08:56:32	SELL	No	0.88	20	$17.60
08:56:30	BUY	Yes	0.12	49	$5.88
05:27:05	SELL	Yes	0.11	10	$1.10
05:27:02	SELL	Yes	0.12	10	$1.20
05:27:00	BUY	No	0.87	50	$43.50
05:26:24	BUY	No	0.87	100	$87.00
15:42:28	BUY	No	0.87	20	$17.40
00:33:30	SELL	Yes	0.13	5	$0.65
18:56:30	BUY	Yes	0.15	5	$0.75
15:54:12	SELL	Yes	0.135	40	$5.40
15:54:09	BUY	No	0.8653795652	289	$250.00
21:16:52	SELL	No	0.84	24	$20.16
21:15:58	SELL	No	0.85	24	$20.40