0xA8c443Bb5026C2Bda115cFdd6eecFA50991C292B-1772548953896
0xa8c443bb5026c2bda115cfdd6eecfa50991c292b
- Realised P&L
- $-298.90
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $17.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.125 | $8.45 | −$11.55 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.067 | $6.45 | −$13.55 |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.022 | $2.23 | −$17.77 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.99at 0.360Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$3.39at 0.560US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$-1.00at 0.012Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
- +$-1.00at 0.009Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
- +$-5.00at 0.070Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 19:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $9.34 |
| 04-08 13:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $9.30 |
| 04-01 17:40 | Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.0118266217 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 17:38 | Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.0089423222 | $1.00 |
| 03-30 15:53 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | SELL | 0.954 | $105.99 |
| 03-30 15:53 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $13.39 |
| 03-25 14:04 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | SELL | 0.5061905355 | $40.65 |
| 03-23 14:09 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | BUY | 0.5845579078 | $46.94 |
| 03-23 14:08 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 03-23 14:08 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 03-23 14:08 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.2860657563 | $20.00 |
| 03-23 14:08 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.1713032753 | $10.00 |
| 03-23 14:08 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | BUY | 0.3600296268 | $40.00 |
| 03-09 20:16 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.3061728319 | $20.00 |
| 03-09 15:00 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |