AlanGutierrez1426
0x7c8e1063cb0239ef915afbe78f31c76cb6789be8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $87.4k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $99.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.140 | $72.38 | +$5.17 |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.075 | $27.07 | −$41.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.11at 0.498Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5
- +$252.41at 0.570Will MrBeast say "Contestant" during his next YouTube video?
- +$197.34at 0.670Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 18?
- +$138.55at 0.570Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?
- +$113.92at 0.220Will BIG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 15:10 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.90 |
| 04-23 12:06 | Spread: Millonarios FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.73 | $489.10 |
| 04-11 18:17 | Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.51 | $36.21 |
| 04-11 06:59 | Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.46 | $520.26 |
| 04-10 16:03 | Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5 | $601.00 |
| 04-09 11:43 | Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.68 | $326.40 |
| 04-07 14:35 | Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April? | BUY | 0.83 | $398.40 |
| 03-29 14:34 | Will BNB dip to $600 in March? | BUY | 0.83 | $894.74 |
| 03-25 19:01 | Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | SELL | 0.891 | $865.16 |
| 03-23 20:10 | Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | BUY | 0.898 | $871.96 |
| 03-21 17:05 | Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $127.05 |
| 03-21 17:03 | Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.4k |
| 03-20 13:40 | Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.5k |
| 03-19 05:54 | Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? | SELL | 0.568 | $336.82 |
| 03-18 13:01 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21? | SELL | 0.47 | $323.36 |