PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1AAc8DA953333450DF04882210D047583F2B66FB-1774010861675

0x1aac8da953333450df04882210d047583f2b66fb

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$121.0k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$301.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 10:42Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.27$13.50
09-17 19:49Will there be at least 3700+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?BUY0.130807449$30.00
09-17 19:41Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
09-13 21:56Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.16$10.00
09-13 21:14Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.119999999$10.00
08-21 19:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.05$10.00
08-21 19:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.3099999622$5.00
08-21 19:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.3899999774$5.00
08-16 23:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?BUY0.62$62.00
08-14 23:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.39$39.00
08-13 19:38Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?BUY0.81$24.30
08-11 19:51Will there be at least 2550 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?BUY0.039$1.56
07-28 13:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.24$70.59
07-23 07:56Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999994$200.00
07-18 21:21Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.649999999$100.00