0x1AAc8DA953333450DF04882210D047583F2B66FB-1774010861675
0x1aac8da953333450df04882210d047583f2b66fb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $121.0k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $301.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.508Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.155Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.123Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
- +$648.57at 0.487Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
- +$101.81at 0.427Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:42 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 09-17 19:49 | Will there be at least 3700+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.130807449 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 19:41 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 21:56 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 21:14 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 23:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 08-14 23:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 08-13 19:38 | Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $24.30 |
| 08-11 19:51 | Will there be at least 2550 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.56 |
| 07-28 13:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.24 | $70.59 |
| 07-23 07:56 | Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999994 | $200.00 |
| 07-18 21:21 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.649999999 | $100.00 |