daroghi
0xf0b0ef1d6320c6be896b4c9c54dd74407e7f8cab
- Realised P&L
- $193.8k
- Volume
- $114.43M
- Markets traded
- 65,589
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded65,589
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.040Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$6.0kat 0.007Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$5.6kat 0.070Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$5.4kat 0.008Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$5.1kat 0.028Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.066 | $0.29 |
| 06-01 05:43 | Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.106 | $0.47 |
| 06-01 05:38 | Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.71 | $2.32 |
| 06-01 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.85 | $25.50 |
| 06-01 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.25 |
| 06-01 05:31 | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.095 | $0.54 |
| 06-01 05:25 | Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party? | SELL | 0.75 | $22.50 |
| 06-01 05:22 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | SELL | 0.175 | $2.61 |
| 06-01 05:20 | Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.91 | $3.78 |
| 06-01 05:20 | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1? | SELL | 0.92 | $11.04 |
| 06-01 05:18 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.902 | $6.31 |
| 06-01 05:17 | Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.62 | $18.60 |
| 06-01 05:16 | Blue wave in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.44 |
| 06-01 05:15 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.985 | $2.71 |
| 06-01 05:15 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.984 | $26.81 |