PolyBot

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Traders

rundfunkbeitraege

0xa04f4b17f83b72d80e215dd8ea4728f4300f15ba

Realised P&L
$673.65
Volume
$94.0k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.740$605.32+$57.26
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2590.723$427.00+$273.93
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.1200.125$52.50+$2.10
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$12.16
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$75.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 00:25Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.57$632.70
04-10 21:05Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.259$153.07
04-10 00:03Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.33$41.58
04-10 00:02Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.33$57.75
04-09 22:13Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?SELL0.83$482.23
04-09 22:12Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?SELL0.83$118.69
04-09 19:33Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?BUY0.67$548.06
04-09 19:14Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?BUY0.84$608.16
04-09 09:54Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?SELL0.64$181.76
04-09 09:52Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?SELL0.64$479.36
04-09 09:51Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?SELL0.64$445.44
04-09 09:48Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?SELL0.64$337.92
04-08 01:08Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?BUY0.66$1.5k
04-07 21:00Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?BUY0.109$155.22
03-31 03:34Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-04-18?SELL0.13$23.14
Trader rundfunkbeitraege · PolyBot Pro