TreepleA
0x932fbc8aafd762ba7f4bde8a9fa485bf58ce2cd8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $266.4k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $13.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.209 | 0.155 | $11.0k | −$3.9k |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.034 | $1.7k | −$4.0k |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.225 | $276.23 | −$1.38 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes | 0.246 | 0.066 | $53.53 | −$146.47 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes | 0.288 | 0.125 | $43.36 | −$56.64 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other · Yes | 0.010 | 0.002 | $7.82 | −$43.28 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.002 | $0.66 | −$82.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.327Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
- +$469.23at 0.390US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$367.20at 0.287US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
- +$333.48at 0.230Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$310.42at 0.240US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:13 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.1k |
| 09-11 05:55 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $436.00 |
| 09-11 05:51 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 05:49 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3233333333 | $19.40 |
| 09-11 05:47 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $10.88 |
| 09-11 05:43 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 09-11 05:43 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $23.04 |
| 09-11 05:43 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.91 |
| 09-11 05:42 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.66 |
| 09-11 05:42 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.80 |
| 09-11 05:42 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1695873281 | $4.07 |
| 09-11 05:41 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.40 |
| 09-11 05:27 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $5.74 |
| 09-11 05:27 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $36.75 |
| 09-11 05:27 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1495761442 | $144.69 |