NAZCA77
0x10ccc3374dd622c8e735caa307b20509e4af32d7
- Realised P&L
- $-3.23
- Volume
- $218.73
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $21.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.125 | $12.50 | −$17.50 |
| Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.905 | $9.05 | +$2.95 |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$10.95 |
| Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.23 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-27 07:59 | Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.23 |
| 02-26 12:49 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 02-26 12:22 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 02-25 12:50 | Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |