PolyBot

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Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.965. up 0.066 over the period, from 0.898. Range 0.893 to 0.965. 148 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9888383
0.990588
0.995155243
0.996250493
0.9975498
0.99860558
0.9996221,180

Spread0.047Mid0.964

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.941120120
0.931200320
0.92040360
0.91140400
0.90160460
0.883140600
0.88229629
0.860100729
0.850250979
0.6001001,079
0.411501,129
0.4104831,612

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.059120120
0.069200320
0.08040360
0.08940400
0.09960460
0.117140600
0.11829629
0.140100729
0.150250979
0.4001001,079
0.589501,129
0.5904831,612

Spread0.047Mid0.035

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0128383
0.010588
0.005155243
0.004250493
0.0035498
0.00260558
0.0016221,180

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fElonYes1,107.3
Nobody23041Yes550
TheBigMuscleYes202.44
Y4n4polYes100
pootytherewardfarmerYes90
LosingEverything12312312323123Yes90
i.newtonYes26
0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940Yes2.02
GuyFromTinderYes1
holygagiNo1,193.15
00000000000000x9No250
xtxpleasecallmeNo241.25
buoysNo200
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.No139.99
vaniyokkNo68
0x4629…f3b1No28.59
KindnessCountsNo16.67
Rain-Prob-01No16.66
joao.humbertoNo6.67
Numitus1994No3

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:20:40BUYYes0.958230769226$24.91
17:36:37BUYYes0.9420$18.79
17:36:31BUYYes0.93940$37.56
17:35:48BUYYes0.93940$37.56
17:35:37BUYYes0.93920$18.77
17:35:15BUYYes0.9420$18.80
17:35:13BUYYes0.938333333360$56.30
10:49:55SELLNo0.140$4.00
10:49:53BUYYes0.895345$308.96
15:48:35BUYNo0.103210$21.63
15:48:34BUYNo0.107999998923$2.46
15:47:23SELLNo0.120$2.00
15:46:38BUYNo0.103210$21.63
15:43:07BUYNo0.120$2.00
14:47:14SELLNo0.044238322221$0.93
14:32:32SELLYes0.90639$35.34
14:32:31SELLYes0.9479$74.26
14:03:08SELLNo0.09440$3.76
14:01:11SELLYes0.9120$18.20
14:00:31SELLNo0.04420$0.88
14:00:29BUYYes0.9054081771294$266.18
14:00:29BUYNo0.05518$0.98
14:00:29BUYYes0.9276$5.74
14:00:28BUYYes0.92720$18.54
22:03:20BUYNo0.086760632131$11.40