vaniyokk
0x42f8684b6f7b3ab846da248a4d5404f30cea3982
- Realised P&L
- $-370.47
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $196.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.56at 0.269Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?
- +$5.89at 0.969Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
- +$4.78at 0.500Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?
- +$3.95at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 24?
- +$-1.11at 0.006Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 07:12 | Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 10-28 07:12 | Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | BUY | 0.2697281106 | $18.73 |
| 10-28 07:09 | Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | BUY | 0.308 | $1.54 |
| 10-28 07:05 | Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | BUY | 0.283 | $14.80 |
| 10-28 07:02 | Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 10-28 06:57 | Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | BUY | 0.2779569803 | $56.92 |
| 10-28 06:52 | Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1175555556 | $5.29 |
| 10-28 06:43 | Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.144 | $2.88 |
| 10-27 07:02 | Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.56 |
| 10-27 07:00 | NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.50 |
| 10-27 06:47 | Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0991143791 | $30.33 |
| 10-25 12:12 | Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | BUY | 0.063 | $6.30 |
| 10-25 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 25? | BUY | 0.166 | $1.66 |
| 10-25 07:05 | Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 10-25 07:04 | Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.2142194093 | $5.08 |