Y4n4pol
0x9c22fc6a3865e1749d7ba7c2a5c46d26e69c444c
- Realised P&L
- $438.80
- Volume
- $262.3k
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.4951,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?
- +$940.07at 0.973Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
- +$569.13at 0.7401,425+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
- +$546.55at 0.7611,475+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
- +$532.31at 0.696Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 19:43 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.8372044537 | $153.39 |
| 09-25 19:43 | Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.8847610328 | $96.63 |
| 09-25 19:42 | Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.8416460905 | $204.52 |
| 09-25 19:42 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.81486 | $407.43 |
| 09-25 14:07 | Will there be at least 3500+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0858049188 | $35.00 |
| 09-25 14:07 | Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1794412642 | $51.00 |
| 09-25 14:07 | Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9669999999 | $300.00 |
| 09-25 14:07 | Will there be at least 3700+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5833333221 | $13.00 |
| 09-25 14:07 | Will there be at least 3500+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0352267619 | $7.40 |
| 09-23 20:29 | Will there be at least 3700+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8023076923 | $104.30 |
| 09-23 20:18 | Will there be at least 3700+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8661771633 | $84.58 |
| 09-22 21:56 | Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9521810251 | $87.32 |
| 09-16 17:15 | Will there be at least 3700+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7957647218 | $234.86 |
| 09-16 17:13 | Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 09-16 17:13 | Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |