fElon
0x7bd9019211677f5db6e221d6a6da030ebcd0bd75
- Realised P&L
- $9.7k
- Volume
- $3.94M
- Markets traded
- 584
- Open portfolio
- $10.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded584
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.681Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.169Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$1.4kat 0.740Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7?
- +$1.3kat 0.024Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$936.42at 0.864Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:41 | Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 09-16 22:40 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 09-16 22:40 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $28.80 |
| 09-16 16:41 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 09-16 16:05 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.3189583333 | $76.55 |
| 09-16 14:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $880.00 |
| 09-16 14:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $880.00 |
| 09-14 15:29 | Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 09-14 15:28 | Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.8327592296 | $150.90 |
| 09-13 15:28 | Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.0052957733 | $1.10 |
| 09-11 14:44 | Will there be at least 4000+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $38.54 |
| 09-11 14:41 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 09-11 07:39 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.235 | $2.35 |
| 09-10 19:01 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.2112345679 | $17.11 |
| 09-10 16:17 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.2333228111 | $14.04 |