0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940
0x2b733d127f58809ecf9917100a7f7a946f6f174e
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $351.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,362
- Open portfolio
- $181.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,362
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$285.15at 0.160Will Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
- +$257.92at 0.172Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-25?
- +$236.13at 0.044US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
- +$212.40at 0.412Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?
- +$201.50at 0.500Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:37 | Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.26 |
| 08-03 06:27 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.20 |
| 08-03 04:10 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.1219999382 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 04:05 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.121 | $10.97 |
| 08-03 03:25 | Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? | BUY | 0.2749999076 | $1.86 |
| 08-03 03:22 | Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 08-03 03:18 | Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.76 | $22.80 |
| 08-03 03:11 | Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.32 |
| 08-03 03:10 | Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.12 |
| 08-03 02:45 | Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? | BUY | 0.36 | $20.88 |
| 08-03 02:45 | Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.76 |
| 08-03 02:43 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.64 |
| 08-03 01:58 | Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $21.62 |
| 08-03 01:44 | Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 08-03 01:39 | Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |