0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940
0x2b733d127f58809ecf9917100a7f7a946f6f174e
- Realised P&L
- $-19.7k
- Volume
- $810.7k
- Markets traded
- 6,490
- Open portfolio
- $403.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,490
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$367.18at 0.218Will Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
- +$315.30at 0.370Will Désiré Doué record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
- +$267.12at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 16?
- +$264.43at 0.524Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?
- +$256.55at 0.176Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 11:16 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 10-19 11:16 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Attorney General election? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.11 |
| 10-19 11:16 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 10-19 11:11 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $7.79 |
| 10-19 11:11 | Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999922 | $9.86 |
| 10-19 11:10 | Will Tunisia win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group H? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 10-19 11:02 | Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999961 | $17.20 |
| 10-19 10:52 | Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.01 |
| 10-19 10:52 | Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.01 |
| 10-19 10:51 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $21.39 |
| 10-19 10:50 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.60 |
| 10-19 10:49 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 45%-50%? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 10-19 10:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6420746776 | $13.40 |
| 10-19 10:45 | Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.5780451102 | $12.40 |
| 10-19 10:43 | Will Algeria win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group I? | BUY | 0.81 | $7.29 |