PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940

0x2b733d127f58809ecf9917100a7f7a946f6f174e

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$351.5k
Markets traded
3,362
Open portfolio
$181.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,362
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · No0.2800.240$35.52$5.92
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k? · Yes0.2800.225$20.70$5.06
Will AVAX reach $10 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.275$16.50$0.30
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1400.061$12.30$15.70
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No0.6500.645$10.45$0.08
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes0.4900.484$7.85$0.09
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.260$7.80+$0.00
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2510.235$4.45$0.30
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7100.705$4.23$0.03
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k? · No0.7400.775$3.88+$0.17
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? · Yes0.5830.540$3.35$0.27
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No0.2440.210$2.79$0.45
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? · No0.4680.455$2.73$0.08
Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28? · Yes0.0900.051$2.63$1.96
Will Matthew Hayes advance to the general election for WA-05? · Yes0.5000.013$2.56$99.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:37Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.71$4.26
08-03 06:27Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1$5.20
08-03 04:10Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.1219999382$1.50
08-03 04:05Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.121$10.97
08-03 03:25Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?BUY0.2749999076$1.86
08-03 03:22Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?BUY0.18$7.20
08-03 03:18Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?BUY0.76$22.80
08-03 03:11Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?BUY0.18$4.32
08-03 03:10Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?BUY0.17$6.12
08-03 02:45Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?BUY0.36$20.88
08-03 02:45Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?BUY0.36$5.76
08-03 02:43Kash Patel out by December 31?BUY0.27$8.64
08-03 01:58Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?BUY0.47$21.62
08-03 01:44Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?BUY0.29$2.90
08-03 01:39Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$14.80