Nobody23041
0x45cc78578b082e89f21e847a3afec8d28cd26400
- Realised P&L
- $11.0k
- Volume
- $4.36M
- Markets traded
- 1,873
- Open portfolio
- $11.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,873
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.001Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
- +$7.5kat 0.040Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?
- +$3.9kat 0.964Trump sentenced to no prison time?
- +$3.0kat 0.059Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022?
- +$2.4kat 0.667Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:14 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000? | BUY | 0.84 | $162.12 |
| 10-31 17:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $303.92 |
| 10-31 17:50 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,400,000 and 10,800,000? | BUY | 0.1994693359 | $37.66 |
| 10-30 16:16 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $253.87 |
| 10-28 19:30 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $84.00 |
| 10-28 18:15 | Blue wave in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $216.72 |
| 10-27 20:23 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.421 | $210.50 |
| 10-27 20:18 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.451 | $9.92 |
| 10-27 16:59 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.025 | $14.45 |
| 10-27 14:01 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.352 | $3.52 |
| 10-27 14:01 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.351 | $151.28 |
| 10-27 14:01 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.35 | $141.75 |
| 10-27 14:00 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.347 | $35.89 |
| 10-27 13:59 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.79 | $237.00 |
| 10-26 21:27 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $435.01 |