Nobody23041
0x45cc78578b082e89f21e847a3afec8d28cd26400
- Realised P&L
- $9.7k
- Volume
- $4.39M
- Markets traded
- 1,844
- Open portfolio
- $10.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,844
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.040Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?
- +$3.9kat 0.964Trump sentenced to no prison time?
- +$2.4kat 0.667Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?
- +$2.1kat 0.910Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
- +$2.0kat 0.010Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 01:03 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-16 01:03 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-13 20:45 | Cardinals vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 09-13 20:35 | Saints vs. Lions | BUY | 0.073 | $7.30 |
| 09-11 20:20 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $329.97 |
| 09-10 23:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.71 | $354.99 |
| 09-10 21:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.81 | $404.99 |
| 09-08 04:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.84 | $210.00 |
| 09-08 01:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.81 | $788.83 |
| 09-08 01:00 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $793.05 |
| 09-06 22:21 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? | SELL | 0.7552105263 | $143.49 |
| 09-06 19:23 | Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.21 |
| 09-05 15:47 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? | SELL | 0.766 | $83.34 |
| 09-05 14:08 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 09-05 14:07 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election? | BUY | 0.78 | $16.18 |