PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Nobody23041

0x45cc78578b082e89f21e847a3afec8d28cd26400

Realised P&L
$9.7k
Volume
$4.39M
Markets traded
1,844
Open portfolio
$10.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,844
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.6290.805$1.5k+$333.84
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · No0.7220.825$1.1k+$133.53
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8500.925$925.00+$75.00
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? · Yes0.1320.592$842.73+$654.59
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.5330.680$688.82+$148.35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1510.080$677.98$606.78
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day? · No0.8150.968$551.48+$86.66
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8300.895$537.00+$39.00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election? · Yes0.8080.815$460.48+$4.08
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4750.575$411.19+$71.39
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2780.547$397.60+$195.63
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4950.305$360.34$224.93
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? · No0.6510.810$318.26+$62.46
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election? · Yes0.7720.755$293.69$6.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? · No0.8420.925$269.88+$24.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 01:03Kansas City Royals vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.21$4.20
09-16 01:03Kansas City Royals vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.21$4.20
09-13 20:45Cardinals vs. ChargersBUY0.22$22.00
09-13 20:35Saints vs. LionsBUY0.073$7.30
09-11 20:20Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.84$329.97
09-10 23:53Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?SELL0.71$354.99
09-10 21:28Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?BUY0.81$404.99
09-08 04:37Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.84$210.00
09-08 01:01Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 7-13?BUY0.81$788.83
09-08 01:00Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?SELL0.83$793.05
09-06 22:21Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?SELL0.7552105263$143.49
09-06 19:23Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?BUY0.039$1.21
09-05 15:47Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?SELL0.766$83.34
09-05 14:08Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?BUY0.78$78.00
09-05 14:07Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?BUY0.78$16.18