PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

00000000000000x9

0xe63acc18279990583f1d0d7ce3596c7c267c0679

Realised P&L
$553.12
Volume
$15.9k
Markets traded
141
Open portfolio
$342.83

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded141
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.6600.725$23.67+$2.12
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.3500.465$19.93+$4.93
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7700.775$18.11+$0.12
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? · Yes0.6000.732$18.01+$3.24
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6600.655$17.86$0.14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6100.605$17.85$0.15
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3100.355$17.17+$2.18
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? · No0.5900.670$17.03+$2.03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4600.415$16.24$1.76
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.6300.690$15.68+$1.36
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.2600.210$15.64$3.72
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.4400.465$14.37+$0.77
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.7700.790$14.13+$0.36
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0790.040$13.88$13.88
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.1400.145$13.55+$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 03:43US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.66$18.00
07-30 10:08Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.16$18.00
07-29 05:59Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.61$18.00
07-27 04:40Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 28?BUY0.59$9.89
07-27 04:21Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 28?BUY0.67$9.90
07-27 01:03Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.35$15.00
07-27 00:23Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 27?SELL0.5$10.90
07-26 21:09Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 27?BUY0.5$10.90
07-23 04:15Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 24?BUY0.66$10.40
07-23 03:06Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 24?BUY0.69$9.80
07-23 02:43Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 23?BUY0.63$3.15
07-22 14:06US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?BUY0.39$3.12
07-21 18:12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.857$18.00
07-21 16:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.77$17.99
07-21 16:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.46$18.00