PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

joao.humberto

0xe861d2193f9458fb765c335dc7c77fdd8bf9461e

Realised P&L
$75.26
Volume
$58.4k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$1.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.2900.130$0.45−$0.55
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · Yes0.1400.026$0.38−$1.62
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.5100.013$0.24−$9.75
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.1500.035$0.24−$0.76
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 980m and 1000m by August 31? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will there be at least 2750 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$10.20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4350.000$0.00−$2.00
Will there be at least 3700+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · No0.3600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00−$2.00
Will there be at least 2850 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? · No0.0920.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 960m by August 31? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 22:50Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.35$2.41
10-25 22:40Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2899999884$2.00
10-25 22:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4349999195$2.00
10-23 16:21Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3889999376$2.00
10-20 13:34Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0609999986$1.00
10-20 13:33Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999969$2.00
10-16 17:50Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?BUY0.08$2.00
10-16 17:50Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$2.00
10-12 15:21Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?BUY0.0229999999$1.00
10-12 15:09Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-12 15:09Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-12 15:07Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-12 15:06Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-12 15:04Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-12 15:04Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.2899999884$1.00