Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.90. up 0.21 over the period, from 0.68. Range 0.65 to 0.90. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	238	238
0.91	100	338
0.92	306	644
0.93	171	815
0.94	183	999
0.95	100	1,099
0.96	125	1,224
0.98	930	2,154
0.99	25	2,179

Spread0.01Mid0.90

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	41	41
0.88	20	61
0.87	45	106
0.86	76	182
0.85	97	279
0.84	40	319
0.82	80	399
0.81	160	559
0.80	252	812
0.79	300	1,112
0.78	205	1,317
0.74	100	1,417

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	41	41
0.12	20	61
0.13	45	106
0.14	76	182
0.15	97	279
0.16	40	319
0.18	80	399
0.19	160	559
0.20	252	812
0.21	300	1,112
0.22	205	1,317
0.26	100	1,417

Spread0.01Mid0.11

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	238	238
0.09	100	338
0.08	306	644
0.07	171	815
0.06	183	999
0.05	100	1,099
0.04	125	1,224
0.02	930	2,154
0.01	25	2,179

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Giannis2026	Yes	6,022.05
cowcat	Yes	3,295
Nobody23041	Yes	1,012.97
0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710	Yes	914.86
Bikesarethebest	Yes	898
fedupferret	Yes	873.94
TheBigMuscle	Yes	775.64
Y4n4pol	Yes	683.22
gmeowcl	Yes	626.3
LosingEverything12312312323123	Yes	397.95
fElon	Yes	307.51
SDODNDPD	Yes	200
St3f	Yes	200
0x1AAc8DA953333450DF04882210D047583F2B66FB-1774010861675	Yes	162.2
werwdswf	Yes	130
dsfdcg	Yes	122
sellingreality	Yes	109.09
0xD0dE2a3d9E11573bDFc6EBa6e93053e29C9f370D-1778914097513	Yes	100.82
PK123	Yes	100
0x7D3320778860940e24bdB9Fd1a93FD3365BeC15F-1762298055834	Yes	98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:05:39	SELL	No	0.1	3	$0.33
06:23:02	SELL	Yes	0.89	125	$111.25
06:22:23	BUY	No	0.12	17	$2.00
06:21:05	BUY	Yes	0.8733814247	433	$377.75
22:32:18	BUY	Yes	0.87	20	$17.40
08:06:36	SELL	No	0.1337147103	108	$14.40
08:04:42	SELL	No	0.14	20	$2.80
08:04:41	SELL	No	0.1420736234	194	$27.56
08:04:41	BUY	Yes	0.863029754	20	$17.26
13:08:11	BUY	No	0.1699999983	6	$1.00
13:07:15	BUY	No	0.1699999983	6	$1.00
09:42:54	SELL	No	0.13	20	$2.60
06:03:27	BUY	No	0.13	20	$2.60
06:03:18	BUY	No	0.1371315245	174	$23.86
00:07:50	SELL	No	0.1	9	$0.88
21:59:42	SELL	Yes	0.87	6	$5.12
21:50:12	SELL	Yes	0.87	6	$5.12
19:50:57	SELL	No	0.12	20	$2.40
19:43:48	BUY	Yes	0.8372044537	183	$153.39
19:42:45	BUY	Yes	0.81486	500	$407.43
16:34:09	SELL	No	0.26	20	$5.20
16:34:06	BUY	Yes	0.74	20	$14.80
16:34:06	BUY	Yes	0.73	62	$45.41
15:21:23	BUY	Yes	0.7199999424	1	$1.00
08:57:50	SELL	No	0.27	30	$8.10