0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710
0x75d1b199a96801338e67a6efaa35c0028ea87a5f
- Realised P&L
- $102.6k
- Volume
- $3.23M
- Markets traded
- 6,227
- Open portfolio
- $66.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded6,227
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.5kat 0.664US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$9.3kat 0.526Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- +$7.3kat 0.510Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians
- +$6.8kat 0.120Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.8kat 0.002Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-12 14:08 | Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m? | BUY | 0.4 | $26.80 |
| 03-11 12:36 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.7252941176 | $7.40 |
| 03-11 11:31 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $44.16 |
| 03-11 09:38 | Will Melissa Bean be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.80 |
| 03-11 06:49 | Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.87 |
| 03-11 06:25 | Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? | BUY | 0.7984053156 | $480.64 |
| 03-11 05:06 | Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.38 | $4.56 |
| 03-11 04:45 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.00 |
| 03-11 04:29 | ChatGPT Outage by March 15? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 03-11 03:19 | North Korea missile test/launch by March 31? | BUY | 0.4357142857 | $3.05 |
| 03-11 03:18 | North Korea missile test/launch by March 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $3.01 |
| 03-11 03:16 | Set 1 Winner: Nava vs Mmoh | BUY | 0.48 | $30.18 |
| 03-11 02:15 | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BUY | 0.1817314488 | $192.86 |
| 03-11 01:41 | Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.37 | $8.51 |
| 03-11 01:32 | Will Trump attend UFC 327? | BUY | 0.65 | $33.15 |