PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD0dE2a3d9E11573bDFc6EBa6e93053e29C9f370D-1778914097513

0xd0de2a3d9e11573bdfc6eba6e93053e29c9f370d

Realised P&L
$14.71
Volume
$324.39
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$140.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration85.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.1770.895$90.23+$72.40
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9550.988$45.68+$1.54
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.3120.070$3.85−$13.30
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0720.033$0.65−$0.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-21 07:59Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.16$9.73
06-13 06:28Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.21$2.10
06-13 06:1710.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.956$15.52
05-28 04:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.006$0.10
05-24 18:25Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.35$5.25
05-16 21:11Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?BUY0.43$2.15
05-16 07:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.059999946$1.00