SDODNDPD
0x3458ae6606828ed4d9666573e1585d9419efb5a7
- Realised P&L
- $8.7k
- Volume
- $1.19M
- Markets traded
- 3,377
- Open portfolio
- $23.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,377
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.611Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$2.8kat 0.598Houston Astros vs. Athletics
- +$2.7kat 0.777Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?
- +$2.1kat 0.765Texans vs. Patriots
- +$1.8kat 0.764Lakers vs. Mavericks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:49 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9499999991 | $900.00 |
| 11-01 20:52 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $1000.00 |
| 11-01 20:51 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $1000.00 |
| 11-01 20:48 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9799444567 | $500.00 |
| 11-01 20:48 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9799586437 | $300.00 |
| 11-01 20:48 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999998 | $1000.00 |
| 11-01 16:06 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.965056902 | $248.46 |
| 11-01 15:54 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 15:46 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 15:44 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | BUY | 0.8199999993 | $200.00 |
| 10-31 22:01 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7407407407 | $400.00 |
| 10-31 22:00 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $800.00 |
| 10-31 21:32 | Northwestern vs. Oregon | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 21:31 | Temple vs. East Carolina | BUY | 0.9 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 21:31 | Delaware State vs. Norfolk State | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $20.00 |