PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

werwdswf

0xaece2abffd7adb588721125c58f2f8d5a07a39d9

Realised P&L
$225.49
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$692.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.4400.695$435.76+$159.88
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.5200.895$116.35+$48.75
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8280.964$62.63+$8.83
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7290.911$41.02+$8.21
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · No0.6200.915$36.60+$11.80
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · No0.2910.000$0.00−$14.54
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00−$9.70
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? · Yes0.3020.000$0.00−$27.21
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$33.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 14:12Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?BUY0.62$24.80
08-16 04:05Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.55$33.55
07-25 07:05Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.729$32.80
06-20 13:34Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.126$9.70
05-21 15:23Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.22$7.70
04-27 15:26Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.155$5.42
04-08 13:18Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.290832$14.54
04-05 13:29Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.611$54.99
03-26 00:32Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?BUY0.3023333333$27.21
03-21 02:48MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$24.00
03-15 11:13Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?BUY0.3574028358$23.95
03-15 11:04Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.52$67.60
03-07 03:28Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.8$17.60
03-07 03:23Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.44$275.88
02-27 02:55Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.83$41.50