St3f
0x682dbb961b8b4c4c99d9d56557d5ad68847e4cd6
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $13.87M
- Markets traded
- 2,479
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,479
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.048Will egg prices be more than $6.00 in March?
- +$2.4kat 0.757Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
- +$2.3kat 0.731Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
- +$1.8kat 0.497Will egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in April?
- +$1.6kat 0.747Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:44 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 6m? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.74 |
| 09-18 01:41 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | BUY | 0.119 | $1.62 |
| 09-18 01:41 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | BUY | 0.119 | $11.90 |
| 09-18 01:41 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | BUY | 0.087 | $8.70 |
| 09-17 20:39 | Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.36 |
| 09-17 16:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | SELL | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 09-17 16:41 | Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $14.80 |
| 09-17 15:26 | Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 09-17 15:26 | Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 09-17 03:20 | Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5446666667 | $40.85 |
| 09-16 12:17 | Will there be at least 3700+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7636363636 | $84.00 |
| 09-16 02:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.2273420195 | $41.88 |
| 09-16 02:37 | Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.605312085 | $22.79 |
| 09-16 02:35 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.044 | $22.00 |
| 09-16 02:33 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.044 | $22.00 |