sellingreality
0x0a79d27b41bbb66c10e2f3705759a6069e9d59a8
- Realised P&L
- $23.18
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $357.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.62at 0.592Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$31.85at 0.702US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$26.95at 0.555Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?
- +$26.03at 0.645Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
- +$22.94at 0.556Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 14:59 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3899999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 14:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.014 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 14:04 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 14:02 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $26.74 |
| 06-01 20:58 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8491508457 | $100.00 |
| 06-01 20:57 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.03290129 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 20:55 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |
| 06-01 20:53 | Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0029999994 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 20:51 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.85 | $107.62 |
| 05-14 22:14 | US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.701926789 | $75.00 |
| 05-14 22:13 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.5923655922 | $75.00 |
| 04-15 00:54 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $28.48 |
| 04-15 00:53 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $145.71 |
| 04-15 00:52 | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9815114898 | $76.03 |
| 03-28 14:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | BUY | 0.1864536491 | $49.39 |