PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sellingreality

0x0a79d27b41bbb66c10e2f3705759a6069e9d59a8

Realised P&L
$23.18
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$357.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8490.935$110.11+$10.11
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.5500.895$97.64+$37.64
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5000.715$71.51+$21.51
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3900.375$48.08−$1.92
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.105$26.25−$23.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? · Yes0.0140.006$2.14−$2.86
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.3000.055$1.83−$8.17
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 14:59Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3899999976$50.00
09-21 14:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUY0.014$5.00
09-21 14:04Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$50.00
09-21 14:02Will Russia invade another country in 2026?SELL0.92$26.74
06-01 20:58Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.8491508457$100.00
06-01 20:57Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.03290129$5.00
06-01 20:55Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?BUY0.2199999985$100.00
06-01 20:53Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0029999994$5.00
06-01 20:51Israel closes its airspace by June 30?SELL0.85$107.62
05-14 22:14US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.701926789$75.00
05-14 22:13Israel closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.5923655922$75.00
04-15 00:54Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?SELL0.55$28.48
04-15 00:53Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?SELL0.51$145.71
04-15 00:52Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9815114898$76.03
03-28 14:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?BUY0.1864536491$49.39