PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

cowcat

0x38e59b36aae31b164200d0cad7c3fe5e0ee795e7

Realised P&L
$48.4k
Volume
$23.88M
Markets traded
5,712
Open portfolio
$247.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,712
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3910.561$19.2k+$5.8k
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.5320.715$9.4k+$2.4k
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.7700.775$7.8k+$50.00
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1110.360$7.4k+$5.1k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1680.105$5.7k$3.4k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1590.105$4.9k$2.5k
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.4910.555$4.1k+$470.63
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5140.405$3.6k$967.36
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3030.295$3.0k$82.08
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat? · No0.9150.967$2.7k+$143.45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3970.495$2.7k+$531.34
Anduril IPO before 2027? · No0.6910.955$2.4k+$668.75
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? · Yes0.8780.965$2.4k+$217.02
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.5820.963$2.4k+$950.69
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5170.125$2.3k$7.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 03:492026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4$1.1k
09-16 03:21Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.5088073877$309.65
09-16 03:16Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.05$25.00
09-16 03:11Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.064982561$13.04
09-15 02:38Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2401513231$1.3k
09-15 02:22Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.49$3.4k
09-15 02:18Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.6690962632$6.6k
09-14 03:25Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.47$470.00
09-14 03:20Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.07$2.48
09-13 04:43Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.77$1.4k
09-12 13:09Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?BUY0.3996153846$207.80
09-11 03:00Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?BUY0.6$24.06
09-11 00:32Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?BUY0.8053332222$48.31
09-09 02:22Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.94$940.00
09-08 03:37Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.977$9.77