cowcat
0x38e59b36aae31b164200d0cad7c3fe5e0ee795e7
- Realised P&L
- $48.4k
- Volume
- $23.88M
- Markets traded
- 5,712
- Open portfolio
- $247.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,712
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.6kat 0.5262024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
- +$43.0kat 0.474Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?
- +$30.5kat 0.477Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$29.2kat 0.363Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$26.0kat 0.067Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:49 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4 | $1.1k |
| 09-16 03:21 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5088073877 | $309.65 |
| 09-16 03:16 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.05 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 03:11 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.064982561 | $13.04 |
| 09-15 02:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2401513231 | $1.3k |
| 09-15 02:22 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.4k |
| 09-15 02:18 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.6690962632 | $6.6k |
| 09-14 03:25 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.47 | $470.00 |
| 09-14 03:20 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.48 |
| 09-13 04:43 | Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.4k |
| 09-12 13:09 | Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.3996153846 | $207.80 |
| 09-11 03:00 | Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | BUY | 0.6 | $24.06 |
| 09-11 00:32 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | BUY | 0.8053332222 | $48.31 |
| 09-09 02:22 | Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.94 | $940.00 |
| 09-08 03:37 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.977 | $9.77 |