PolyBot

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Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in September 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.09 to 0.28. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.332525
0.59135160
0.605165
0.64100265
0.6850315
0.7020335
0.7330365
0.7440405
0.7940445
0.9640485
0.97100585
0.9840625

Spread0.27Mid0.20

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.061818
0.052038
0.03745
0.022065
0.01516581

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.941818
0.952038
0.97745
0.982065
0.99516581

Spread0.27Mid0.80

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.672525
0.41135160
0.405165
0.36100265
0.3250315
0.3020335
0.2730365
0.2640405
0.2140445
0.0440485
0.03100585
0.0240625

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
alligatorrYes123.98
Quarrelsome-BranchYes42.88
AJSVYes35.18
wert4Yes28.92
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes20
0xca75…0a64Yes14.43
Rog1212Yes9.09
Maximus374Yes6.02
tryrktryYes5
0xd0d9…30f2Yes5
ramc2005Yes3.34
Numitus1994Yes3.32
pppnnYes1.5
0xa5ef…2966No190.51
WeJustBettinNo43.48
ms1910No39.99
LornaPredictsNo12.12
palochkaNo6.02
POB1No3
a5533No1.97

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:41:16SELLYes0.0820$1.60
11:55:46SELLYes0.062$0.10
16:41:00BUYNo0.820$16.00
04:17:24BUYNo0.8920$17.80
04:17:16BUYNo0.8420$16.80
04:17:01BUYNo0.8320$16.59
17:21:00SELLNo0.816$4.86
15:07:49BUYYes0.165$0.80
15:07:49BUYYes0.165$0.80
02:22:16BUYNo0.766$4.56
02:20:49SELLYes0.230$0.10
02:06:54BUYNo0.766$4.56
02:06:54BUYNo0.765$3.80
22:44:42SELLYes0.339$2.94
20:27:55SELLNo0.7220$14.40
20:27:54BUYYes0.240740740722$5.20
20:27:52SELLNo0.769$6.77
20:27:49BUYYes0.239999997229$6.94
20:27:49BUYYes0.2420$4.80
03:09:04SELLNo0.682$1.34
20:49:12BUYYes0.217$3.33
19:29:40SELLYes0.1320$2.60
18:15:40SELLYes0.22$0.39
18:09:37BUYNo0.7820$15.60
18:09:37BUYNo0.809999997722$17.80