PolyBot

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Traders

ramc2005

0x57a8e5d81df013a009644899fdbc51f538d9d092

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$175.1k
Markets traded
2,568
Open portfolio
$983.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,568
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026? · No0.4300.365$20.44−$3.64
Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.4000.375$19.88−$1.32
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.9070.874$19.23−$0.73
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 12%-15%? · No0.8800.835$19.20−$1.03
Will Ascent be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026? · No0.9200.930$18.60+$0.20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 12% or more? · No0.9460.928$18.57−$0.35
Will North Texas Mean Green Win the 2026 American Conference? · No0.9020.922$18.44+$0.40
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 25%-30%? · No0.8600.795$18.29−$1.50
Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026? · No0.8610.866$17.31+$0.09
Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October? · No0.8900.856$17.11−$0.69
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%? · No0.8600.840$16.81−$0.40
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · No0.8600.840$16.80−$0.40
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 20%-25%? · No0.9100.835$16.70−$1.50
Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31? · No0.9200.830$16.60−$1.80
Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? · No0.8570.800$16.00−$1.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 19:39Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?SELL0.83$16.60
10-04 17:48Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Kyle?SELL0.914$9.61
10-04 16:26Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$15.00
10-04 14:38Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 35%-40%?SELL0.899$17.98
10-04 13:06Will Core PCE MoM be 0.0% in September?SELL0.88$10.75
10-04 09:25Will Sentinels make a roster change by December?SELL0.36$7.20
10-04 07:01Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.14$2.80
10-04 06:41Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?SELL0.81$16.20
10-04 06:16Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.73$16.79
10-04 01:01Will Gilberto Mora play for Liverpool next?SELL0.78$5.88
10-03 14:39Will Anna Leigh Waters win zero Triple Crowns in the 2026-27 PPA Tour season?SELL0.77$15.40
10-03 14:00Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?SELL0.86$17.20
10-03 12:16Will Caio Borralho fight Joe Pyfer next?SELL0.851$17.02
10-03 11:33Will Mozambique win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group J?SELL0.85$19.55
10-03 07:48Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in October?SELL0.75$15.00