PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WeJustBettin

0xf6c6f97260df6b37d0d047e756703f60ce6c7d80

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$575.8k
Markets traded
858
Open portfolio
$61.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded858
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9600.981$4.6k+$98.44
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8150.895$2.4k+$216.08
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5990.645$2.3k+$162.70
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9100.983$2.0k+$146.27
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7990.961$1.8k+$305.69
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7440.925$1.7k+$325.15
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9320.961$1.5k+$45.06
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8540.925$1.5k+$116.79
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9070.959$1.5k+$79.72
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No0.9010.968$1.4k+$93.59
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9600.955$1.2k$6.51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.4680.935$1.2k+$616.78
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.6980.925$1.2k+$301.69
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? · Yes0.9710.973$1.2k+$1.88
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.9020.968$1.2k+$80.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:24Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?BUY0.9808332409$400.00
09-17 05:21Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$141.00
09-17 05:19GTA VI released by November 30?BUY0.91$18.20
09-17 05:18GTA VI released by November 30?BUY0.91$113.75
09-17 05:10GTA VI released by November 30?BUY0.91$273.00
09-17 04:24Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7899999697$12.00
09-17 04:24Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7299999942$30.00
09-17 03:48Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.982$500.00
09-14 23:11Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?BUY0.8624195781$175.00
09-14 22:54Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?BUY0.9875062464$80.00
09-14 22:53Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.8389999993$70.00
09-13 18:19Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?BUY0.8948863635$70.00
09-13 15:52Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.7699999992$100.00
09-13 00:22Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?BUY0.4899999984$75.00
09-12 23:50Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6116831481$30.00