PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WeJustBettin

0xf6c6f97260df6b37d0d047e756703f60ce6c7d80

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$586.2k
Markets traded
892
Open portfolio
$64.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded892
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9600.992$4.7k+$150.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8150.945$2.6k+$351.06
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5990.655$2.3k+$198.29
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7640.945$1.9k+$362.50
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7990.974$1.8k+$330.36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9110.982$1.6k+$118.04
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9330.993$1.6k+$95.50
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8540.955$1.6k+$165.90
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.9120.979$1.4k+$95.27
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No0.9010.970$1.4k+$96.41
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9600.995$1.3k+$45.57
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.6980.970$1.3k+$360.94
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.4680.955$1.3k+$643.20
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? · Yes0.9710.987$1.2k+$20.00
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8820.930$1.2k+$62.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:132026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.22$44.00
11-01 17:05Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.6799999937$30.00
11-01 17:00Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6999999977$60.00
11-01 14:54US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.9805097448$100.00
11-01 06:47Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.6599999991$30.00
11-01 06:09Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.9379999997$200.00
11-01 03:05Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?BUY0.77$23.10
11-01 02:19Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.52$24.96
11-01 02:18Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.52$78.00
10-30 03:14Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.993$4.96
10-29 15:15Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.4707279404$130.75
10-28 20:55Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.75$15.00
10-28 20:54Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.6280322748$125.00
10-28 18:31Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?BUY0.709999998$50.00
10-28 16:38Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9579999999$60.00