WeJustBettin
0xf6c6f97260df6b37d0d047e756703f60ce6c7d80
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $575.8k
- Markets traded
- 858
- Open portfolio
- $61.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded858
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.801Will a Republican win Maine Presidential Election?
- +$1.3kat 0.799Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
- +$1.1kat 0.763Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$614.79at 0.834Will a Democrat win Maine Presidential Election?
- +$578.34at 0.744Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:24 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | BUY | 0.9808332409 | $400.00 |
| 09-17 05:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $141.00 |
| 09-17 05:19 | GTA VI released by November 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 09-17 05:18 | GTA VI released by November 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $113.75 |
| 09-17 05:10 | GTA VI released by November 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $273.00 |
| 09-17 04:24 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999697 | $12.00 |
| 09-17 04:24 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999942 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 03:48 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.982 | $500.00 |
| 09-14 23:11 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8624195781 | $175.00 |
| 09-14 22:54 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | BUY | 0.9875062464 | $80.00 |
| 09-14 22:53 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8389999993 | $70.00 |
| 09-13 18:19 | Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8948863635 | $70.00 |
| 09-13 15:52 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 00:22 | Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $75.00 |
| 09-12 23:50 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6116831481 | $30.00 |