Rog1212
0x25943f1f07eb343c699245133a25338cee69f524
- Realised P&L
- $3.13
- Volume
- $365.20
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $41.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.15at 0.470Will John Ternus say "Aluminum" during his Apple Keynote?
- +$-0.26at 0.074Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
- +$-1.04at 0.114Will John Ternus say "One More Thing" 3+ times during his Apple Keynote?
- +$-1.04at 0.093Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
- +$-1.04at 0.036Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:12 | Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 19:11 | GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 14:46 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 09-09 10:58 | Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.23 |
| 09-09 10:43 | Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 10:43 | Will John Ternus say "Aluminum" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 10:41 | Will John Ternus say "One More Thing" 3+ times during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 10:41 | Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 10:40 | Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 10:21 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 10:21 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1689999932 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.86 |
| 09-09 09:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:15 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |