PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-28
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.999. up 0.774 over the period, from 0.225. Range 0.185 to 0.999. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9981717
0.9951027
0.9051744
0.8802568
0.8552392
0.80519110
0.75520130
0.7206137
0.70521158
0.70010168
0.65515183
0.6548191

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0021717
0.0051027
0.0951744
0.1202568
0.1452392
0.19519110
0.24520130
0.2806137
0.29521158
0.30010168
0.34515183
0.3468191

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
KiruaTradingYes758.8
balthazarYes660
YesHerrYes348.11
title1Yes160
memetalYes103.06
Bruce9119Yes51.95
0xef03567fC5a30B665efca7e9eF2e9e3fe6031FbF-1759574216489Yes30
trupYes28
MEXC-048Yes26
wintermiteYes26
ButterinYes22
LaribobiboYes21
rosenicholasYes19.39
zeitfi-vault-v2Yes19.26
GuyFromTinderYes12.96
0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556Yes11.33
Azrael-aiYes10
0xeB68675C06E0bB9F08ba510550912d77289Ce362-1778811892036Yes9.22
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433Yes5.19
NotAnIdiotYes5.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:51:24BUYYes0.99965$64.94
05:00:39BUYNo0.002152$0.30
05:00:39BUYYes0.9961258581131$130.59
03:28:39BUYYes0.99528$27.86
03:11:36BUYYes0.99526$25.87
03:07:36BUYYes0.9926$25.74
03:06:23BUYYes0.9922$21.78
00:32:20BUYYes0.9799874598103$101.00
22:10:35SELLNo0.02158$3.15
22:10:18SELLYes0.9715$14.53
22:09:15SELLYes0.955$4.75
22:09:15SELLNo0.0420$0.80
22:09:14SELLNo0.0620$1.18
22:00:27BUYYes0.93999999615$4.88
21:50:32BUYNo0.0951435035212$20.19
21:40:47BUYYes0.9530$28.50
09:57:36BUYYes0.90999999083$2.97
09:16:50BUYYes0.88235293611$10.00
09:11:51BUYNo0.139999995120$2.84
07:40:23BUYYes0.86999995421$1.14
23:27:00BUYYes0.8250$41.00
22:54:12SELLYes0.8119$15.32
13:33:41SELLNo0.1860$10.80
11:02:26BUYYes0.81999945881$1.00
09:39:35SELLYes0.7845$35.33