Bruce9119
0x143817bec276b3e1afd304cec36c13808e00c697
- Realised P&L
- $-368.89
- Volume
- $30.2k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $51.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$272.55at 0.743Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?
- +$155.25at 0.710Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
- +$146.47at 0.710Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
- +$134.32at 0.847Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
- +$105.67at 0.633Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 03:32 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.75 | $38.96 |
| 09-24 09:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 06:30 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.8199999961 | $24.97 |
| 08-29 08:10 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.8500875939 | $21.44 |
| 08-12 03:34 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? | BUY | 0.579999999 | $160.00 |
| 08-09 03:56 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.9 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 14:43 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.7470119521 | $50.00 |
| 07-28 11:35 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.5299999972 | $30.00 |
| 07-28 02:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 02:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 02:02 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.4851485122 | $50.00 |
| 07-26 22:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 23:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |