0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556
0xf4fe4aeea49c54aa73ec946ab2eebd02ee42f6e7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $365.2k
- Markets traded
- 13,066
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13,066
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$244.88at 0.675Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$230.63at 0.906French election called by October 10?
- +$112.79at 0.944Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
- +$85.81at 0.910Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?
- +$64.68at 0.963Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.945 | $4.72 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $4.96 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $4.96 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.987 | $4.93 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.984 | $0.82 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 11-01 20:03 | Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.978 | $4.89 |
| 11-01 20:03 | Will the Republican Party win the SC-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.987 | $4.93 |
| 11-01 20:03 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.982 | $1.13 |