0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556
0xf4fe4aeea49c54aa73ec946ab2eebd02ee42f6e7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $282.2k
- Markets traded
- 10,205
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,205
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$244.88at 0.675Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$230.63at 0.906French election called by October 10?
- +$112.79at 0.944Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
- +$85.81at 0.910Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?
- +$64.68at 0.963Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $29.89 |
| 09-17 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 09-17 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $24.99 |
| 09-17 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9929999988 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 09-17 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.97 | $24.25 |
| 09-17 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 09-16 21:13 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.994 | $24.85 |
| 09-16 21:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 09-16 21:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 09-16 21:12 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.18 |
| 09-16 21:12 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $24.99 |
| 09-16 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $23.88 |
| 09-16 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $8.64 |