PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Azrael-ai

0x6bca667e3767591f5f19712414a67882e8bbf109

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$34.8k
Markets traded
694
Open portfolio
$9.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded694
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.2700.999$9.99+$7.29
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$12.60
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5320.000$0.00−$10.64
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$6.40
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$3.70
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 · Over0.5100.000$0.00−$2.55
Tajikistan vs. India: Both Teams to Score · No0.5900.000$0.00−$11.80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? · No0.7750.000$0.00−$58.13
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21? · No0.8400.000$0.00−$8.40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$25.00
France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score · No0.6000.000$0.00−$6.00
Magic vs. Pistons · Magic0.2400.000$0.00−$2.40
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2050.000$0.00−$20.50
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) · Netherlands0.5900.000$0.00−$11.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 14:16Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.148$1.48
09-18 13:50Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?SELL0.99$19.80
09-01 14:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?SELL0.73$7.30
08-25 04:36Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?BUY0.6633663301$5.00
08-25 04:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
08-22 14:57Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?BUY0.2$2.00
08-15 16:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 16?BUY0.022$1.10
08-13 15:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 14?BUY0.4299999871$5.00
08-12 15:05Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?BUY0.6$12.00
08-09 11:50Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9?BUY0.31$3.10
08-08 15:23Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.82$16.40
08-07 15:47Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?SELL0.997$19.94
08-01 12:06Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.81$16.20
08-01 11:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.999$19.98
07-31 02:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?BUY0.65$3.90