PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

trup

0xfd02876467ee156e3f49691c9a0cefeddd91265c

Realised P&L
$-31.08
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$27.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.9950.999$27.97+$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 03:28Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.995$27.86
08-20 03:12Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.994$40.75
07-12 00:55Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?BUY0.999$55.94
06-17 08:41Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?BUY0.997$43.87
05-25 14:55Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?BUY0.999$129.87
05-05 04:02Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?BUY0.999$64.94
04-28 01:49Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?BUY0.99$4.95
03-21 02:57Trump out as President by March 31?BUY0.996$65.44
03-01 03:58Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.997$82.76
02-26 13:58Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.999$57.04
02-04 14:57Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.998$87.82
01-31 04:23Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?BUY0.999$79.92
01-31 04:22US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?BUY0.997$49.85
01-05 03:02Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?BUY0.9969999999$26.23
12-30 09:23OpenAI acquired in 2025?BUY0.999$27.55