trup
0xfd02876467ee156e3f49691c9a0cefeddd91265c
- Realised P&L
- $-31.08
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $27.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.999 | $27.97 | +$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.49at 0.971Biden drops out by July 12?
- +$3.58at 0.890Will ETH dip below $3,000 in June?
- +$3.35at 0.599LayerZero airdrop by June 30?
- +$1.29at 0.992zkSync airdrop by June 30?
- +$1.10at 0.955Fed rate cut by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 03:28 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.995 | $27.86 |
| 08-20 03:12 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $40.75 |
| 07-12 00:55 | Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.94 |
| 06-17 08:41 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $43.87 |
| 05-25 14:55 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $129.87 |
| 05-05 04:02 | Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 04-28 01:49 | Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 03-21 02:57 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $65.44 |
| 03-01 03:58 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $82.76 |
| 02-26 13:58 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.04 |
| 02-04 14:57 | Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $87.82 |
| 01-31 04:23 | Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 01-31 04:22 | US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 01-05 03:02 | Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $26.23 |
| 12-30 09:23 | OpenAI acquired in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.55 |