memetal
0x7b842c1f82f598a654865d7a223cf2b52209a13e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $1.58M
- Markets traded
- 2,679
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,679
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.747Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
- +$1.8kat 0.748Kings vs. Avalanche
- +$1.4kat 0.749Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$1.3kat 0.749Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants
- +$1.3kat 0.749Grizzlies vs. Jazz
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:01 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | SELL | 0.999 | $106.09 |
| 09-17 20:09 | Will Fort Worth, TX face tornado risk on September 17? | BUY | 0.998994012 | $1.0k |
| 09-17 19:54 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.9509999997 | $101.00 |
| 09-17 17:36 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | BUY | 0.9489999818 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 16:41 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4089999958 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 14:45 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.989020763 | $101.00 |
| 09-17 13:04 | Will Minneapolis, MN face tornado risk on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $101.00 |
| 09-17 13:04 | Will Memphis, TN face tornado risk on September 17? | BUY | 0.9928071974 | $101.00 |
| 09-17 13:04 | Will Oklahoma City, OK face tornado risk on September 17? | BUY | 0.9928071974 | $101.00 |
| 09-17 12:32 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $125.63 |
| 09-17 04:10 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16? | BUY | 0.9989836066 | $60.94 |
| 09-17 03:59 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 24? | BUY | 0.8712956691 | $101.00 |
| 09-17 02:22 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $42.00 |
| 09-17 00:52 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16? | BUY | 0.9851231502 | $101.00 |
| 09-17 00:25 | Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by September 15? | SELL | 0.961 | $10.25 |