MEXC-048
0x73c2a806fc7390b859525eeb7544ed6d45562f7b
- Realised P&L
- $-11.73
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $25.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.999 | $25.97 | +$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.25at 0.883Ethereum Up or Down on April 9?
- +$3.39at 0.950Biden drops out by July 19?
- +$2.28at 0.936Blast airdrop by June 30?
- +$1.54at 0.914Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?
- +$1.29at 0.992zkSync airdrop by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 03:07 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.99 | $25.74 |
| 08-21 03:31 | Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23? | BUY | 0.991 | $29.58 |
| 07-13 06:28 | Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $66.87 |
| 06-29 02:51 | Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $20.77 |
| 06-17 09:14 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $63.94 |
| 05-20 12:21 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $107.78 |
| 05-05 04:49 | Billions FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.998 | $78.84 |
| 04-13 15:26 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $75.85 |
| 03-10 09:09 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $2.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.55 |
| 02-26 08:43 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.54 |
| 02-12 14:41 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.999 | $107.59 |
| 01-31 01:11 | Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 01-05 09:45 | Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $28.60 |
| 12-06 07:09 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BUY | 0.9729999997 | $21.02 |
| 11-12 13:05 | Will the Government shutdown end by November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.98 |