PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rosenicholas

0x916a5daebb728743581f945478bcb731d987a599

Realised P&L
$59.91
Volume
$10.8k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$77.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · No0.6950.420$22.58−$14.78
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.8500.999$19.37+$2.89
Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · Yes0.8600.635$19.04−$6.75
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30? · No0.6100.440$16.16−$6.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:48Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.9969999998$4.81
01-30 12:21Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?BUY0.9979999818$4.72
01-30 12:19Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.999$7.37
01-30 11:59Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.999$22.77
01-30 11:52Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?BUY0.996$55.14
12-30 09:39Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?BUY0.999$10.29
12-30 01:46Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?BUY0.999$10.72
12-29 22:49Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?BUY0.998$22.32
12-29 22:32Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$25.13
12-29 21:38Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.998$26.92
10-30 22:25Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.9845768725$25.34
10-30 17:32Will XRP reach $3.80 in October?BUY0.999$23.04
09-29 18:38Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.998$19.61
09-29 05:15Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.995$18.28
09-29 04:21Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.997$14.33