Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-09

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.007. Unchanged over the period, from 0.007. Range 0.007 to 0.007. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.008	2,177	2,177
0.009	1,475	3,652
0.010	2,443	6,095
0.011	156	6,250
0.012	156	6,406
0.013	156	6,562
0.014	156	6,717
0.015	156	6,873
0.016	156	7,028
0.017	4,585	11,613
0.018	41	11,654
0.019	41	11,694

Spread0.001Mid0.007

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.007	76	76
0.006	2,323	2,399
0.005	93	2,492
0.004	8,667	11,159
0.003	10,155	21,314
0.002	2,800	24,114
0.001	2,084,517	2,108,631

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.993	76	76
0.994	2,323	2,399
0.995	93	2,492
0.996	8,667	11,159
0.997	10,155	21,314
0.998	2,800	24,114
0.999	2,084,517	2,108,631

Spread0.001Mid0.992

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.992	2,177	2,177
0.991	1,475	3,652
0.990	2,443	6,095
0.989	156	6,250
0.988	156	6,406
0.987	156	6,562
0.986	156	6,717
0.985	156	6,873
0.984	156	7,028
0.983	4,585	11,613
0.982	41	11,654
0.981	41	11,694

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
tiger555	Yes	5,505.28
sasfafsaget32	Yes	4,645.76
125-kooyanisqatsi	Yes	2,675.46
Brianm	Yes	1,109.1
Pewpewlaserderp	Yes	1,035.99
0x597f1a30c93298C3F26b6F3faB92746B2F74702C-1781483990698	Yes	750
ICountElectricSheep	Yes	668.84
GamblingEnjoyer	Yes	601.35
cry.eth2	Yes	471.27
Misread	Yes	422.57
Razirback	Yes	360.02
donthackme	Yes	320.77
AiBird	Yes	304.09
carpe-noctem	Yes	240.01
MrMarket	Yes	200
qing67890	Yes	166.67
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	150
HerrieDavis	Yes	137.51
V4grant	Yes	125
0xb032…c16c	Yes	120

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:26:33	SELL	No	0.992	60	$59.30
05:14:39	BUY	No	0.9929999999	36	$35.28
04:59:18	BUY	No	0.9929999999	16	$15.60
04:32:12	BUY	No	0.9929999998	9	$8.49
08:35:48	BUY	No	0.993	9	$9.37
15:00:36	SELL	Yes	0.007	115	$0.81
04:00:54	SELL	No	0.992	53	$52.45
03:35:50	BUY	No	0.993	29	$29.10
03:26:56	BUY	No	0.9929999995	9	$9.41
02:48:32	BUY	No	0.9929999998	14	$14.00
23:30:42	SELL	No	0.992	10	$9.48
23:07:21	BUY	No	0.9929999999	10	$9.50
14:12:11	BUY	No	0.993	25	$24.39
14:12:11	BUY	No	0.993	20	$19.86
14:12:11	BUY	No	0.993	20	$19.86
14:12:03	BUY	No	0.993	49	$48.99
06:54:38	SELL	Yes	0.007	20	$0.14
23:14:50	BUY	No	0.993	10	$9.94
23:14:50	BUY	No	0.993	25	$24.83
23:14:48	BUY	No	0.993	85	$84.41
23:14:48	BUY	No	0.993	40	$39.73
10:51:44	SELL	No	0.992	16	$15.48
10:17:54	SELL	No	0.992	13	$13.29
10:09:42	BUY	No	0.993	29	$28.80
07:13:26	SELL	No	0.992	12	$11.80