Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-09

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.005. Range 0.004 to 0.007. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.005	1,133	1,133
0.006	740	1,873
0.007	740	2,613
0.008	860	3,474
0.009	740	4,214
0.017	4,544	8,758
0.161	10	8,768
0.162	20	8,788
0.220	75	8,863
0.221	20	8,883
0.225	102	8,985
0.343	50	9,035

Spread0.001Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.004	794	794
0.002	880	1,674
0.001	5,730	7,404

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.996	794	794
0.998	880	1,674
0.999	5,730	7,404

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.995	1,133	1,133
0.994	740	1,873
0.993	740	2,613
0.992	860	3,474
0.991	740	4,214
0.983	4,544	8,758
0.839	10	8,768
0.838	20	8,788
0.780	75	8,863
0.779	20	8,883
0.775	102	8,985
0.657	50	9,035

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
sasfafsaget32	Yes	12,401.63
125-kooyanisqatsi	Yes	3,702.01
Brianm	Yes	1,109.1
0x597f1a30c93298C3F26b6F3faB92746B2F74702C-1781483990698	Yes	750
ICountElectricSheep	Yes	668.84
GamblingEnjoyer	Yes	601.35
cry.eth2	Yes	471.27
Misread	Yes	422.57
0x5533…51ba	Yes	392.1
Razirback	Yes	360.02
donthackme	Yes	320.77
HerrieDavis	Yes	249.27
carpe-noctem	Yes	240.01
MrMarket	Yes	200
qing67890	Yes	166.67
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	150
V4grant	Yes	125
pestanimal	Yes	120
0xb032…c16c	Yes	120
0x52968f8783027bEaE11728C1FBaC057dE1cd6D7B-1763969850506	Yes	113.47

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:12:21	BUY	No	0.996	10	$9.96
19:22:35	SELL	No	0.995	8	$7.86
16:04:42	BUY	No	0.996	13	$12.75
16:04:42	BUY	No	0.996	25	$24.79
16:04:42	BUY	No	0.996	10	$9.96
14:44:45	BUY	No	0.996	10	$9.59
10:51:56	SELL	Yes	0.004	0	$0.00
10:43:50	BUY	No	0.996	10	$9.96
10:43:50	BUY	No	0.996	50	$49.80
10:43:49	BUY	No	0.996	15	$14.94
10:43:49	BUY	No	0.996	10	$9.96
10:43:49	BUY	No	0.996	53	$52.79
13:37:00	SELL	Yes	0.004	33	$0.13
06:53:45	BUY	No	0.996	10	$9.96
06:53:45	BUY	No	0.996	8	$7.97
06:53:45	BUY	No	0.996	5	$4.98
15:56:31	BUY	No	0.996	5	$4.98
15:56:30	BUY	No	0.996	6	$5.68
14:59:55	SELL	Yes	0.004	0	$0.00
14:54:21	BUY	No	0.996	8	$7.97
08:39:52	BUY	No	0.996	6	$5.98
08:39:52	BUY	No	0.996	10	$9.96
08:39:52	BUY	No	0.996	5	$4.98
08:39:52	BUY	No	0.996	20	$19.92
19:12:13	BUY	No	0.996	20	$19.92