0x597f1a30c93298C3F26b6F3faB92746B2F74702C-1781483990698
0x597f1a30c93298c3f26b6f3fab92746b2f74702c
- Realised P&L
- $-164.00
- Volume
- $47.6k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $32.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.10at 0.146Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?
- +$2.68at 0.299Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$0.85at 0.002Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$0.74at 0.078Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.68at 0.006Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 04:31 | Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 04:30 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 04:30 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 04:29 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0131147541 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 04:29 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0169999831 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 04:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 04:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 03:36 | Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0068626778 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 03:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.0342070472 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 03:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 03:32 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 03:32 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0054450854 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 03:31 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0052868973 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 03:31 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.005999994 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 03:31 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.006999993 | $1.00 |