Brianm
0xa8daf6b29347eaf96bdc28b4785ee9c80a4ed488
- Realised P&L
- $-263.83
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $183.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$455.82at 0.585Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$37.00at 0.190Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
- +$28.88at 0.820Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
- +$16.75at 0.746Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Finland by Feburary 1?
- +$7.80at 0.220Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-23 20:35 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.25 |
| 03-23 20:28 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.02 |
| 03-23 20:13 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0445983776 | $5.61 |
| 03-23 20:11 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.069625082 | $37.14 |
| 03-15 21:39 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.036 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 20:06 | Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 03-12 21:50 | Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1999795872 | $52.90 |
| 03-12 21:47 | Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026? | BUY | 0.18121625 | $28.99 |
| 03-12 21:36 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $25.45 |
| 03-12 21:24 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0331423804 | $5.96 |
| 03-12 21:23 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.03 |
| 03-12 21:18 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0369911779 | $44.28 |
| 03-04 08:59 | Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year? | SELL | 0.0952845953 | $18.25 |
| 02-06 20:00 | Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | BUY | 0.82 | $143.50 |
| 02-06 16:01 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.049 | $39.20 |