qing67890
0xda785401997abe377683846c7741497b50ca5c22
- Realised P&L
- $-758.79
- Volume
- $98.1k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $0.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$179.40at 0.883Will XRP dip to $2.80 September 29-October 5?
- +$68.44at 0.425Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$43.18at 0.857Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 September 29-October 5?
- +$37.06at 0.340Will Bitcoin dip to $120,000 October 6-12?
- +$35.04at 0.850Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 September 22-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-13 15:31 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $380? | BUY | 0.9978503218 | $100.00 |
| 03-13 15:29 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 15:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 03-01 20:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.9659999816 | $10.00 |
| 02-20 21:54 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 02-06 09:07 | Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 02-06 09:06 | Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 02-06 09:05 | Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 02-06 08:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February? | BUY | 0.9775545265 | $100.00 |
| 12-20 00:31 | Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 21? | BUY | 0.8644674073 | $100.00 |
| 12-19 16:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19? | BUY | 0.9552238806 | $10.00 |
| 12-08 00:51 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 12-05 05:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 5? | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $10.00 |
| 11-28 17:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.18 | $21.18 |
| 11-28 17:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.49 | $123.03 |