0xb032efba6536a628f34dcb1b0c9f9ab53c59c16c
- Realised P&L
- $-10.03
- Volume
- $28.0k
- Markets traded
- 569
- Open portfolio
- $627.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded569
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.37at 0.500Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$99.22at 0.500Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$89.89at 0.167Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
- +$87.33at 0.038Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
- +$85.33at 0.048Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 08:21 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 07-12 03:14 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | SELL | 0.47 | $14.10 |
| 07-11 23:22 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.78 |
| 07-11 21:56 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%? | SELL | 0.247 | $1.24 |
| 07-11 21:56 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? | SELL | 0.3504726368 | $2.82 |
| 07-11 21:56 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%? | SELL | 0.247 | $1.83 |
| 07-11 21:43 | Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 07-11 21:41 | Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 07-11 07:04 | Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $2.47 |
| 07-11 05:35 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.88 |
| 07-11 05:35 | Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.15 |
| 07-11 00:58 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.35 |
| 07-11 00:28 | Will world GDP growth be 3.5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.00 |
| 07-10 22:36 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | SELL | 0.33 | $3.82 |
| 07-10 08:40 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.07 |