sasfafsaget32
0x6996447ae9db5a6dad323b7285b04f2fbf8bcf9a
- Realised P&L
- $12.3k
- Volume
- $14.89M
- Markets traded
- 825
- Open portfolio
- $56.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded825
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.010Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?
- +$1.0kat 0.210US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$920.48at 0.390Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5
- +$894.65at 0.004US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$839.27at 0.660Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 20:53 | Will Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.1 | $222.34 |
| 09-11 20:53 | Will Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.11 | $33.14 |
| 09-11 19:22 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? | BUY | 0.47 | $94.00 |
| 07-27 02:35 | Will MrBeast hit 510 million subscribers by July 31? | BUY | 0.0940112723 | $48.21 |
| 07-26 06:49 | Will MrBeast hit 510 million subscribers by July 31? | BUY | 0.0447106188 | $18.06 |
| 07-24 01:06 | Will MrBeast hit 510 million subscribers by July 31? | BUY | 0.0787364636 | $173.22 |
| 07-21 08:48 | Will MrBeast hit 510 million subscribers by July 31? | BUY | 0.0139648739 | $5.81 |
| 07-19 22:44 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.96 | $1.6k |
| 07-18 22:17 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.219 | $87.60 |
| 07-18 21:39 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.1 | $40.00 |
| 07-18 21:26 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.28 | $112.00 |
| 07-14 20:22 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1125 | $56.25 |
| 07-08 03:45 | Will MrBeast hit 508 million subscribers by July 31? | BUY | 0.0082564064 | $16.10 |
| 07-06 22:38 | Will MrBeast hit 508 million subscribers by July 31? | BUY | 0.0116670793 | $26.95 |
| 07-06 22:37 | Will MrBeast hit 510 million subscribers by July 31? | BUY | 0.04 | $7.26 |