PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x52968f8783027bEaE11728C1FBaC057dE1cd6D7B-1763969850506

0x52968f8783027beae11728c1fbac057de1cd6d7b

Realised P&L
$-155.93
Volume
$42.0k
Markets traded
439
Open portfolio
$65.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded439
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0280.269$27.28+$24.43
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? · No0.3930.500$10.07+$2.15
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.1600.091$5.14$3.92
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0670.536$2.68+$2.34
ByteDance IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0810.066$1.83$0.43
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0300.025$1.67$0.38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.2800.465$1.60+$0.64
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0200.014$1.29$0.55
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.0650.015$1.24$3.95
Ledger IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1290.040$1.16$2.62
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0400.041$1.04+$0.03
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0310.048$1.03+$0.36
Celonis IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1310.043$0.85$1.78
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0400.008$0.83$3.33
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0900.035$0.81$1.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 08:09Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.048$1.22
08-19 07:58Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.09$2.29
08-19 05:49Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.014$0.29
08-18 12:28Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?SELL0.021$0.54
08-15 15:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.02$0.33
08-11 20:232026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.11$1.94
08-09 19:28New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? SELL0.04$1.74
08-08 19:48Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.146$2.39
08-07 22:33Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.024$1.75
08-05 22:13Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.05$1.55
08-04 17:13Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.13$2.11
08-04 12:13Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.06$1.88
08-03 19:38Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$1.06
08-02 10:23Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.14$2.23
07-29 00:23Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.11$1.85