PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.982. up 0.046 over the period, from 0.935. Range 0.935 to 0.982. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9957171
0.996366437
0.997344781
0.9981,0521,833
0.9993,4065,238

Spread0.027Mid0.982

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9683030
0.96796126
0.966200326
0.95442368
0.9407911,159
0.920221,181
0.9001,0002,181
0.4001,6003,781
0.3502,2866,067
0.3024256,492
0.3003,1509,642
0.2503,52013,162

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0323030
0.03396126
0.034200326
0.04642368
0.0607911,159
0.080221,181
0.1001,0002,181
0.6001,6003,781
0.6502,2866,067
0.6984256,492
0.7003,1509,642
0.7503,52013,162

Spread0.027Mid0.018

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0057171
0.004366437
0.003344781
0.0021,0521,833
0.0013,4065,238

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
simplemanYes794.63
TrangNgoYes766.32
SitsToPeeYes616.03
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes255
Elias.ThornwellYes50.68
43rdstYes19
0x74FCF01083ba469909e5af254Bf2d75664bc492C-1769743012360Yes11.17
0xa5ef…2966No808.55
cowcatNo686
Dr.PNLNo429.31
cigarettesNo175
AJSVNo91.59
MajasNo76.1
0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-1782168978900No50
LornaPredictsNo50
Numitus1994No42.01
LavinceyNo29.09
50sadNo20.3
Rain-Prob-01No20
lolzzzlolNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:23:15BUYNo0.0150$0.50
07:46:52SELLNo0.041175$7.18
05:31:22SELLYes0.96450$48.20
03:08:18SELLNo0.0320$0.60
03:07:21SELLNo0.0330$0.90
03:07:13SELLNo0.0475$3.00
02:37:16SELLNo0.0550$2.50
02:37:13SELLNo0.0530$1.50
02:37:13SELLNo0.0520$1.00
02:37:10BUYYes0.9560$57.00
02:37:09SELLNo0.05400$20.00
02:37:07SELLNo0.05700$35.00
02:37:04BUYYes0.95120$114.00
02:37:04BUYYes0.9520$19.00
02:37:04BUYYes0.942,209$2076.22
04:13:12SELLNo0.0645$2.70
04:09:24BUYYes0.9450$47.00
04:09:19SELLNo0.0620$1.20
04:09:12SELLNo0.063703703754$3.44
04:09:09BUYYes0.93250$232.50
01:33:28SELLNo0.075$0.35
01:33:13BUYYes0.935$4.65
21:59:00BUYYes0.925$4.60
22:09:21BUYYes0.925$4.60
02:40:31SELLYes0.91879850$45.94