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Traders

43rdst

0x15ad03d2d22bdbedf99c7e7168cbc627d9abdcbf

Realised P&L
$-10.31
Volume
$390.17
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$65.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat? · Yes0.9000.915$17.39+$0.28
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat? · No0.5740.635$10.79+$1.03
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-08 House seat? · Yes0.7900.875$10.59+$1.03
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? · Yes0.7200.885$7.08+$1.32
Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat? · No0.6100.680$6.12+$0.63
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2600.340$3.40+$0.80
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat? · Yes0.8600.885$2.65+$0.07
Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat? · Yes0.8300.835$2.50+$0.01
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat? · Yes0.8700.905$1.81+$0.07
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8700.900$1.80+$0.06
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? · Yes0.9100.310$1.55$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-08 02:01Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?BUY0.58$1.74
04-08 01:53Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?BUY0.58$2.32
04-08 01:42Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?BUY0.57$2.85
04-08 01:41Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?BUY0.57$2.85
04-08 01:41Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?BUY0.72$2.88
04-07 22:34Will the Democratic Party win the MI-08 House seat?BUY0.79$0.08
04-07 22:15Will the Democratic Party win the MI-08 House seat?BUY0.79$7.11
04-07 21:39Will the Democratic Party win the MI-08 House seat?BUY0.79$2.37
04-06 20:50Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?BUY0.83$2.49
04-06 03:37Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?BUY0.72$2.88
04-06 03:14Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?BUY0.87$1.74
04-06 02:57Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?SELL0.896119951$43.93
04-06 01:58Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?SELL0.93$0.91
04-05 23:21Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?BUY0.86$2.58
04-05 21:25Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?SELL0.93$4.65