PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.043. up 0.009 over the period, from 0.034. Range 0.012 to 0.080. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.052196196
0.056125321
0.06082403
0.06117420
0.07820440
0.081100540
0.08535575
0.086225800
0.088175975
0.0891001,075
0.0906441,719
0.1201131,831

Spread0.019Mid0.042

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0332020
0.0312040
0.030125165
0.02920185
0.023183368
0.00818386
0.00725411
0.00620431
0.005130561
0.00483644
0.0039051,549
0.0024,0175,565

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9672020
0.9692040
0.970125165
0.97120185
0.977183368
0.99218386
0.99325411
0.99420431
0.995130561
0.99683644
0.9979051,549
0.9984,0175,565

Spread0.019Mid0.958

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.948196196
0.944125321
0.94082403
0.93917420
0.92220440
0.919100540
0.91535575
0.914225800
0.912175975
0.9111001,075
0.9106441,719
0.8801131,831

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
shiifooYes1,398
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes812
balthazarYes560.86
xtxpleasecallmeYes224.55
graynotebook19Yes175.62
LornaPredictsYes169.76
lightsout912Yes140
Wegamble777Yes138.64
romanew-1-newYes113.64
Dr.PNLYes81.28
johnnath1222Yes79.32
PPMTYes55
galhammermanYes51
JordanMooneyYes50
sweetjYes40
mustbethewaterYes40
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.Yes35.11
AnonymousUsernameYes30.19
LesterDiamondYes25.03
ghorrockYes18

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:45:36BUYYes0.03826$0.99
16:44:52BUYYes0.03845$1.71
09:15:16BUYNo0.9745$4.87
05:50:33BUYNo0.9975$5.46
01:18:12BUYYes0.0339$0.30
16:11:49BUYNo0.99440$39.76
16:11:49BUYNo0.993697333330$29.81
10:26:42BUYYes0.0555$0.28
08:16:51BUYYes0.05312$0.66
02:51:14BUYNo0.95510$9.55
02:51:14BUYNo0.95530$28.65
22:54:14BUYNo0.95510$9.55
22:54:14BUYNo0.95530$28.65
04:24:33SELLYes0.0544449282276$15.01
14:25:56BUYYes0.07415$1.10
10:46:29BUYNo0.942999996810$9.51
09:59:11BUYNo0.946999999525$23.70
03:42:15BUYYes0.045071356579$3.58
01:46:44BUYYes0.043999999523$1.00
14:21:59BUYYes0.05840$2.32
11:46:33BUYYes0.042572410996$4.09
11:34:17BUYYes0.029999999848$1.43
11:23:02BUYYes0.0116351548288$3.35
11:13:38BUYNo0.99810$9.98
11:13:38BUYNo0.99850$49.90