Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.05 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.11 to 0.21. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	431	431
0.14	476	907
0.15	20	927
0.17	10	937
0.19	30	967
0.42	16	983
0.43	18	1,000
0.44	53	1,053
0.60	30	1,083
0.72	7	1,090
0.73	837	1,927
0.80	650	2,577

Spread0.01Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	570	570
0.11	586	1,157
0.05	9	1,166
0.04	88	1,253
0.03	6	1,259
0.02	200	1,459
0.01	27	1,486

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	570	570
0.89	586	1,157
0.95	9	1,166
0.96	88	1,253
0.97	6	1,259
0.98	200	1,459
0.99	27	1,486

Spread0.01Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	431	431
0.86	476	907
0.85	20	927
0.83	10	937
0.81	30	967
0.58	16	983
0.57	18	1,000
0.56	53	1,053
0.40	30	1,083
0.28	7	1,090
0.27	837	1,927
0.20	650	2,577

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Dr.PNL	Yes	351.16
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13	Yes	300.45
Bodytobody	Yes	88
Johnny-Worker	Yes	63.62
frontiertrade	Yes	60
HerrieDavis	Yes	45
AJSV	Yes	30.1
0x4629…f3b1	Yes	30
pppnn	Yes	3.68
pmqianbaolaile	Yes	3.08
SteviaDaddy	No	339.5
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	No	321.21
tradetosurvive1	No	134.47
15billionplus	No	50
pootytherewardfarmer	No	34
0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295	No	30
gthdtrlij549y89	No	20
wert4	No	12.27
youtube-trader	No	10.26
a5533	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:45:15	SELL	Yes	0.12	20	$2.40
11:13:16	SELL	No	0.87	14	$11.76
11:13:07	BUY	Yes	0.1299999948	23	$3.00
11:13:06	BUY	Yes	0.13	300	$39.06
14:30:45	SELL	No	0.87	76	$65.69
14:29:34	SELL	No	0.87	264	$229.68
22:54:19	SELL	No	0.87	39	$33.93
11:34:34	BUY	Yes	0.13	207	$26.94
07:44:57	SELL	Yes	0.15	11	$1.60
07:44:54	SELL	Yes	0.16	186	$29.70
06:54:18	SELL	No	0.83	6	$5.30
04:07:01	SELL	No	0.82	50	$41.00
03:56:52	SELL	No	0.831077296	186	$154.29
03:56:51	BUY	Yes	0.17	6	$1.08
02:05:42	SELL	Yes	0.14	1	$0.07
02:03:24	SELL	Yes	0.14	0	$0.03
01:52:01	BUY	No	0.82	30	$24.60
01:51:42	BUY	No	0.82	36	$29.52
01:51:40	BUY	No	0.819999996	20	$16.20
01:51:40	BUY	No	0.81	202	$163.24
23:47:51	SELL	Yes	0.18	29	$5.22
23:17:06	SELL	Yes	0.17	20	$3.40
23:16:27	BUY	No	0.8099999999	186	$150.38
23:16:25	BUY	No	0.8	189	$151.20
23:16:25	BUY	No	0.8099999959	12	$9.94